State-sponsored Activities
In the year 2022, we witnessed a number of state-sponsored cyber activities originating from different countries wherein the tactics employed by the threat actors varied. Apparently, this will continue into 2023, since government uses its cyber capabilities as a means of achieving its economic and political objectives.
Russian Cyber Activity will be Split between Targeting Ukraine and Advancing its Broader Intelligence Goals
It can be anticipated that more conflict-related cyber activities will eventually increase since there is no immediate prospect of an end to the conflict in Ukraine. These activities will be aimed at degrading Ukraine’s vital infrastructure and government services and gathering foreign intelligence, useful to the Russian government, from entities involved in the war effort.
Additionally, organizations linked to the Russian intelligence services will keep focusing their disinformation campaigns, intelligence gathering, and potentially low-intensity disruptive attacks on their geographical neighbors.
Although Russia too will keep working toward its longer-term, more comprehensive intelligence goals. The traditional targets of espionage will still be a priority. For instance, in August 2022, Russian intelligence services used spear phishing emails to target employees of the US’s Argonne and Brookhaven national laboratories, which conduct cutting-edge energy research.
It is further expected that new information regarding th
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